Small Wins

On a blustery October day in 1987, a herd of prominent Wall Street investors and stock analysts gathered in the ballroom of a posh Manhattan hotel. They were there to meet the new CEO of the Aluminum Company of America -- or Alcoa, as it was known -- a corporation that, for nearly a century, had manufactured everything from the foil that wraps Hershey's Kisses and the metal in Coca Cola cans to the bolts that hold satellites together.
A few minutes before noon, the new chief executive, Paul O'Neill, took the stage. He looked dignified, solid, confident. Like a chief executive.
Then he opened his mouth.
"I want to talk to you about worker safety," he said. "Every year, numerous Alcoa workers are injured so badly that they miss a day of work.
"I intend to make Alcoa the safest company in America. I intend to go for zero injuries."
The audience was confused. Usually, new CEOs talked about profit margins, new markets and 'synergy' or 'co-opetition.' But O'Neill hadn't said anything about profits. He didn't mention any business buzzwords.
Eventually, someone raised a hand and asked about inventories in the aerospace division. Another asked about the company's capital ratios.
"I'm not certain you heard me," O'Neill said. "If you want to understand how Alcoa is doing, you need to look at our workplace safety figures." Profits, he said, didn't matter as much as safety.
The investors in the room almost stampeded out the doors when the presentation ended. One jogged to the lobby, found a pay phone, and called his 20 largest clients.
"I said, 'The board put a crazy hippie in charge and he's going to kill the company,'" that investor told me. "I ordered them to sell their stock immediately, before everyone else in the room started calling their clients and telling them the same thing.
"It was literally the worst piece of advice I gave in my entire career," he said.

Within a year of O'Neill's speech, Alcoa's profits would hit a record high. By the time O'Neill retired in 2000 to become Treasury Secretary, the company's annual net income was five times larger than before he arrived, and its market capitalization had risen by $27 billion. Someone who invested a million dollars in Alcoa on the day O'Neill was hired would have earned another million dollars in dividends while he headed the company, and the value of their stock would be five times bigger when he left.



The idea behind this book (i am not finished yet) is that if you change something in your life, one habit one process one routine it can have some powerful side effects. If people have small wins doing something that is not so important they might get use to win and start wining in more important stuff. Apparently Mayor Giuliani "broken window" theory of government is something like that. If you eradicate Graffiti there is a big fall in all criminality as a side effect. I guess the message is start somewhere and don't fail on that. 





Korea has the most unhappy kids in the World










It’s no secret that many Korean students are miserable, especially in high school, as  they prepare for the highly competitive College Scholastic Ability Test, which determines entry into college. (The most prestigious are the elite SKY schools: Seoul National, Korea, and Yonsei universities. Attendance at these schools confer large advantages on graduates once they hit the labor market.)
Compounding the stress are expectations from Korean parents, which are some of the highest in the world, according to the OECD. (From Quatrz)

http://qz.com/153380/korea-is-the-worlds-top-producer-of-unhappy-school-children/

Parents expect too much of their children in Korea, i see from the chart above that my country Portugal is also not well placed. What is the point of everybody to want their children to be a boss/Top of the pyramid? In a Company as well  a boat crew there is only 1 Captain, some officers and the rest are seaman Lot's of seaman. What is the point of putting all the children to study to be a Captain? There are only so many places for Captain post. What would happen to the thousand of children that have a captain degree but can only be a seaman? Our society is designed for disappointment.




Why do PMI's matter?





http://blog.yardeni.com/2013/12/manufacturing-boom-excerpt.html


Well it looks like US equity market is expensive but revenues are going to grow a bit (PMI's up = Rev up) However if top line (Revenues) & the economy recover it's possible that the FED trims a bit of QE! What to do?

Since we are in the good period for the market i think it's fair to stay the course until the FED moves. When he does move all the bet's are off.

Greatness is not cheap

A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price.

Charlie Munger

PS This is very true, it's easier to make money buying something expensive that turns even more expensive than to buy something cheap that recovers. Unfortunately Unique has a price. This is a general rule that has exceptions, but i believe is a good general rule.

Don't visit the doctor

oecd3


If you take a look at this graph & the previous post about life expectancy it looks like you don't live longer if you go very often to the doctor. I try hard not to go. I see in this graph that the average of most countries is between 5 and 8 visits per year. This year i had to do a check up but that was it. I hope to stay like this.

Money can buy some years of life but after the basic needs are ......




It looks like after some basic needs are met you can not extend life expectancy by spending more money. The US looks like a waste of money.




Europe in Deflation!

1.OECD's chief economist, Pier Carlo Padoan, said that the Eurozone deflationary risks "may be slowly increasing" and "the ECB must be very careful and be prepared to use even non-conventional measures to beat any risk of deflation becoming permanent.

2.Europe is very weak. ECB is Contemplating a a new LTRO- with a twist. 



Nothing new here, as i have mentioned in several posts in the past the problem with the world is excess capacity/overproduction. When that is the case we have deflation, people try to lure customers with the lower price. The only companies that can do well in this environment are?

1.Brands
2.Companies that help to cut costs (Automation & Robotisation)
3.Monopolies

What to do? Invest your money in the Robot factory or in the Bigger get Bigger theme.

See this link about the same subject

http://thoughtmeme.blogspot.pt/2013/11/brands-monopolies.html