The best predictor of the market is the market

Monday, February 22, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

 Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge. 

Lao Tzu





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If you have expensive Energy you will be poor

Sunday, February 21, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

From Bill gates book  , page 10.

Around the same time, the late scientist David MacKay, a professor at Cambridge University, shared a graph with me that showed the relationship between income and energy use—a country’s per capita income and the amount of electricity used by its people. The chart plotted various countries’ per capita income on one axis and energy consumption on the other—and made it abundantly clear to me that the two go together: As all this information sank in, I began to think about how the world could make energy affordable and reliable for the poor.




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Why haven’t I had flu for the last 40 years? Duke of Edinburgh

Thursday, February 18, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

 “Why haven’t I had flu for the last 40 years?” he demanded.


Express, By 

The doctor’s response suggested he had a strong immune system enabling him to fight off the virus without feeling unwell, coupled with the fact he does not “go on the Tube every day”.

But there is more to the Duke’s health than access to a better quality of life than many people. This is a man who has always shunned the pursuits of typical pensioners. Even as an octogenarian he continued to compete in demanding carriage driving competitions, a sport he took up in 1971 after retiring from polo in his 50th year...............................

He stopped smoking in 1947, shortly before his wedding to the Queen and once said that he follows a low-carbohydrate Atkins-type diet. He drinks moderately and is said to swim regularly. One of the Queen’s former physicians described him as “astonishingly fit for a man of his age”.


Your diet is a bank account. Good food choices are good investments.

Bethenny Frankel




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Ride the Rally

Wednesday, February 17, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

 "ride the rally and drown out warnings that the market has become overheated."

--Bob Michele - the chief investment officer at JPMorgan Asset Management which manages $2.3 trillion


From Macro Charts



Why the big picture is critical – especially now: Nearly all global Stock markets are back in uptrends (rising 200dmas). This condition defined all Bull Markets in history. It's one of the strongest readings ever – usually seen at the start of Major advances. Follow the trend.


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A good politician is good at being elected

Tuesday, February 16, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

Everyone wants to live at the expense of the state. They forget that the state wants to live at the expense of everyone. 

Frederic Bastiat


A good politician is good at being elected not at doing smart things. No one can blame him for doing stupid things the only thing he cares is to look good now or before the election.




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ESG is failing , no surprise here

Tuesday, February 16, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

 

David Sheppard

Is oil going to shoot back to $100 a barrel, as underinvestment in the sector crashes into post-pandemic demand?

Both JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs think we’re entering a new oil supercycle, despite predictions demand could peak within a decade or so


I don't know about oil , my bet would be nuclear it's clean and it's economic viable. wind and Solar don't work, very nice but don't work. The economics are poor. Wind and solar are a scam, someone is making serious money. I don't make any money from nuclear I just loved to have cheap energy.



"What happens if we reach zero emissions & nothing changes about the climate, yet Americans are poorer for the effort?" --Allen Brooks


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China on Track to Supplant US as Top Nuclear Energy Purveyor

Friday, February 12, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

  “For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled.”  Richard Feynman


Even if Green Energy is green (I doubt Ethanol, etc... ) the economics (all costs involved) of wind and solar are weak at best. The results are disappointing but normally if something is not working politicians double down. Europe that has a bet on alternative Energy has energy costs much greater that US , China etc.. . Europe is behind those other superpowers recently that bet is part of the reason.

The Economy is energy transformation. Expensive energy, weak economy.


Physics matters. It was not a random or arbitrary fluctuation, much less political favor or the power of vested interest, that led coal to dominate British energy supply as early as 1700, eroding the status of a deeply resistant landed aristocracy and gentry. It was not thanks to politicians that in the following centuries coal, oil, and gas established an overwhelming position in global energy supply. On the contrary, it was the intrinsic physical properties of those fuels that led to their preferment, properties which can be summed up in a single term: Fossil fuels are of low entropy.

John Constable


China on Track to Supplant US as Top Nuclear Energy Purveyor

By John Xie
January 14, 2021 04:24 PM

Experts say China is on a course to displace the United States as the global leader in the production and sale of nuclear power generation, providing yet another avenue for Beijing's drive to become the world's leading economic and diplomatic power. 

A recent study published in Strategic Studies Quarterly, a journal sponsored by the U.S. Air Force, found that since 2000, 96 nuclear reactors have been connected to the grid in 13 countries. Of these, 45 were constructed in China and 12 in Russia. 

The paper also pointed out that of the 54 reactors under construction in countries around the world, 20 are related to China or Russia, and 13 are designed by China. 

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Capitalism without bankruptcy is like Christianity without hell

Thursday, February 11, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

When you protect one child he is going to be the weak one forever. Think about that. Europe is the weak one and America wants to copy.  BUY ASIA

 Crony capitalism is an economic system in which businesses thrive not as a result of risk, but rather as a return on money amassed through a nexus between a business class and the political class. This is often achieved by using state power rather than competition in managing permits, government grants, tax breaks, or other forms of state intervention.

Definition of crony capitalism

an economic system in which individuals and businesses with political connections and influence are favored (as through tax breaks, grants, and other forms of government assistance) in ways seen as suppressing open competition in a free market








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ESG in a nutshell

Monday, February 08, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments






That is why I think Nuclear is the only ESG option. Alternatives are no alternative. If you spend 1  you get 3 with wind, if you spend 1 you get 50 with oil ( The Saudis get more) if you spend 1 you get 70 or 80 with nuclear ............. We can cover the world with solar panels and only 20% of demand will be met .

Oil is going to the sky .........









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I cut coffee 3 days ago

Monday, February 08, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

 The key message: If you want to be an effective leader, and rise in the ranks, get enough sleep.

HBR


Fatigue makes cowards of us all

— Vince Lombardi

Surprisingly, one group that doesn’t need to heed these warnings is executives. In our assessment of 35,000 leaders and interviews with 250 more, we found that the more senior a person’s role is, the more sleep they get.
HBR


I am reading the book from Shawn Stevenson about Sleep. He claims that to lose weight and to improve as an athlete sleep is key. I always slept easily but I wake up several times during the night and I can't sleep more than 6 hours. I want to sleep better, deeply. I want to do more.

the 3 key areas so far in the book are

cut coffee after lunch
take all the phones iPad etc... from the bedroom. I never had the Phone in the bedroom
make the room totally dark

I love coffee but decided to cut big time. I am having 1 morning coffee when I wake and that is it for the day. The first 3 days have been horrible with headaches I was addicted to coffee .

No more 

I will report the results .


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Tomorrow is the NASDAQ Composite's 50th birthday

Friday, February 05, 2021 Francisco 0 Comments

 Tomorrow is the NASDAQ Composite's 50th birthday. It started at 100 on Feb 5, 1971.

Nasdaq is an incredible history of success, is the triumph of man aided with a machine, it was a bet on the future vs the present.  

"Nasdaq" was initially an acronym for the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations.





“Progress is made by lazy men looking for easier ways to do things.”
― Robert A. Heinlein


“Our wretched species is so made that those who walk on the well-trodden path always throw stones at those who are showing a new road.”
― Voltaire, Philosophical Dictionary

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The only thing you need to know to do well in the stock market

Tuesday, February 02, 2021 Francisco 1 Comments

 


Obviously, you don’t have to be able to predict the stock market to really make money with stocks.
Peter Lynch


The Stock market and the economy are two different things
Milton Friedman


Sometimes to read the news can be very damaging to your trading account. The price tells you almost everything. Ignore the noise. If you don't read news your health will improve big time also. 

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