Who wins the Champions league'

More money more wins and more revenue! BIG get BIGGER

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Money is pretty good predictor of who will win elections

What do the numbers really tell us? These two stats jumped out at us from a post-analysis done by the Center for Responsive Politics:
– 94 percent of biggest spenders in House races won, up slightly from 2012
– 82 percent of biggest spenders in Senate races won, up from 76 percent in 2012 

 From Washington Post
91% of the time the better-financed candidate wins. Don’t act surprised.
The chart analyzes 467 congressional races held in 2012. Its findings:
* Candidates who out-fundraised their opponents were nine times more likely to win elections in 2012.
* Winning congressional candidates outspent their opponents by about 20 to 1.

* Winning candidates on average spent $2.3 million. Losing candidates, on average, spent $1.1 million.
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More money generally means more wins

This doesn't surprise me, Miracles are rare. The biggest budget can buy the best data and the best people and the result usually is more win's. simple

Lopez-feature-MLBpayroll-1

The line gets steeper going from left to right, implying that in recent seasons, jumps in salary have been associated with larger gains in win percentage. Altogether, none of the 20 teams with the highest relative salaries since 1985 have finished below .500.

 J.C. Bradbury, an economics professor at Kennesaw State University, found that winning more increases revenue exponentially. “Going from 85 wins to 90 is worth more than 80 wins to 85,” he says. As a result, while it might cost more per win for a team that wins 90 games than 85, it makes financial sense because the revenue reward will be higher as well. This leads to a self-perpetuating cycle. 

 https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-be-fooled-by-baseballs-small-budget-success-stories/


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The Case for 50bps


A strong policy response is necessary to guard against risks of a further, sharper loss of economic momentum. Weak incoming data, lingering trade tensions, and preventing both financial conditions from tightening and a non-linear adverse impact on growth are key reasons for a front-loaded adjustment.

Chetan Ahya

MS CHIEF ECONOMIST AND GLOBAL HEAD OF ECONOMICS

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BAD -- Worry about appearing good

From Ray Dalio book Principals. I haven't read that massive volume. But some slides are so true.

This one reminds me of Europe

Let's pretend
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Economics 101 lesson 3

Bull markets tend to sprint to the finish line

BCA research

Bull markets deliver most of the gains at the end, don't sell too early
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Economics 101 lesson 2

“Crises take longer to arrive than you can possibly imagine, but when they do come, they happen faster than you can possibly imagine.”

 Rüdiger "Rudi" Dornbusch (June 8, 1942 – July 25, 2002) was a German economist who worked for most of his career in the United States

 Don't jump the gun wait for blood and then run for cover....
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