One reason to be bullish on China

Monday, September 28, 2015 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

International Students in the United States
Top 10 sending places of origin and percentage of total international student enrollment:
Rank
Place of Origin
Number of Students
Percent of Total
1
China
274,439
31.0%
2
India
102,673
11.6%
3
South Korea
68,047
7.7%
4
Saudi Arabia
53,919
6.1%
5
Canada
28,304
3.2%
6
Taiwan
21,266
2.4%
7
Japan
19,334
2.2%
8
Vietnam
16,579
1.9%
9
Mexico
14,779
1.7%
10
Turkey
13,286
1.5%

All Others
273,426
30.9%



My main idea during the last few years is that Emerging markets are not going to Emerge at all. On the contrary most of the best students want to move to the US, Germany etc... Most of the best jobs are also in the G7 countries, these countries have money to invest in R&D etc....

Nothing worth a good value is going to be invented in the EM countries because now it's necessary to have thousands scientists  with Phd's etc....

There is one exception which is Singapore that did catch up. I think China might be also a surprise.

Why? They build the infrastructure, they work big time, there is almost no crime (always a distraction), no politics (big distraction ) and they send their students outside and back(Yes many go back)

I thing China could be a good surprise. All the other EM and countries in the middle will probably lag the G7 countries. People want the best and the best is not in EM.


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