Some thoughts at the close of 2016

Thursday, December 22, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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You don’t “succeed” because you have no weakness; you succeed because you find your unique strengths and focus on developing habits around them.
Tim Ferris


In the end, winning is sleeping better
Jodie Foster


Fasting before chemotherapy is definitely something that should be implemented in our oncology wards......Fasting essentially slows (sometime stops) rapidly dividing cells and triggers an 'energetic crisis' that makes cancer cells selectively vulnerable to chemo and radiation
Dom D'Agostino 

Globalization is an inherently deflationary force. In a globalized world, if a country experiences an idiosyncratic shock which raises domestic demand, this can be met with more imports rather than higher prices.
Peter Berezin, BCA


“People are so worried about what they eat between Christmas and the New Year, but they really should be worried about what they eat between the New Year and Christmas.”
A. Nonymous

 Notes from me:

 What are the big trends that the world is facing in the last 30 years?

 faster discoveries and new inventions. A new scientist starts his carrier with a huge knowledge that a scientist 50 years ago didn't have.
Doing more with less
we don't need everybody to work
Deflation
specialization
less & less crime
less wars
less poverty
longer lives
a lot of free time 
a more & more clean world.
lack of purpose, some people do't contribute at all

 If trade is not impaired the world will continue to march forward. That is my visium.

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So I dare you to detox

Monday, December 19, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Addiction is when an action becomes compulsive to the point where you pick up your phone constantly to check updates, it becomes like scratching your nose or biting your lip. You do it without thinking, you need it to cope. So I dare you to detox


Gabi Kahts

Yes i need a detox. I have tryed two things lately. I don't sleep with the i.phone in the room and i go out to the movies without i-phone.

so far so good. i will try one day a weekend without taking the phone out. when i get home i check the messages but not carry it with me.

i will report


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hER0Qp6QJNU&feature=youtu.be
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The best revenge is massive success

Friday, December 16, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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The best surprise is no surprise
Holliday Inn ad

Good news is no News
Only catastrophic news sell

There is solid experimental and theoretical evidence that within a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution….by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half
Life Magazine, 1970

BY the time my young sons reach retirement age, half the world’s species will be extinct, the air radioactive and the seas polluted with oil
Jared Diamond, scientist 1995

The ten worst sources of contagion are our fingers
Mayo Clinic Slogan

Winning isn’t everything, but wanting to win is

Vince Lombardi

Without discipline, there's no life at all.
Katharine Hepburn

"The best revenge is massive success."
Frank Sinatra

Notes: 

yesterday i order some toys for my 2 year old son at Amazon. I was amazed that they email me later in the day saying that Your Amazon.co.uk order of "Orchard Toys Red Dog, Blue Dog" and 3 more item(s) has been dispatched! Amazon is a very good logistic business they can pack and ship my items in a matter of hours. 


Good news is no news. Unfortunately it's true. If i own a TV channel i would give notice to the wonderful things that are happening in the world everywhere. yes the world is getting better in everything for 200 years non stop, from poverty, to crime, to air pollution, hunger, disease , child mortality, longevity, quality of life, leisure time,  everything ...........but the media always tries to crate a view that the Good old times where so much better. There where never good old times, only struggle and pain. People love to complain.

what could disrupt this 200 year march of progress and prosperity? only one thing, lack of commerce, lack of globalization and treat to property rights. Yes just look at the only place in the world where progress and improvements are almost frozen for 70 years. Africa. NO property right and the borders are close to commerce.


Have a wonderful weekend. Here in Lisbon i hope to cycle outdoors. 



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How to sleep better

Monday, December 12, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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I read the book from Nick Littlehales (Sky team coach) and some other articles about the subject. I fall asleep easily but i wake time and time again during the night.
What do i take from all this reading that i can use in my life

 1.you sleep less and less as you become older
2.you feel sleepy during some parts of the day even if you slept a perfect night the previous day
3.If you sleep one night really bad there is no problem, as long as on a week basis you have some days with normal sleep
4.there is only one good position to sleep well. Side to your weakest side (my case left). i use to sleep belly down.
5.you should wake up everyday, weekends included at the same time
6.if you have a party and get to bed later that usual don't compensate and sleep late
7.don't overeat & drink before going to bed
8.Don't have phones , i-pads or tv in the bedroom
9.Don't check your phone in the middle of the night
10.Don't have a too hard mattress
11. Do some exercise, get some natural light during the day. 
12.Keep your room dark, cool and quiet
13.nap as much as you can but for a short time each time.

 I will try the side position and to cut a bit on the coffee!




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Weekend Edition

Friday, December 09, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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If you were allowed one wish for your child, seriously consider wishing him or her optimism.

Optimists are normally cheerful and happy, and therefore popular; they are resilient in adapting to failures and hardships, their chances of clinical depression are reduced, their immune system is stronger, they take better care of their health, they feel healthier than others and are in fact likely to live longer.
Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate in Economics


Most environmentalists still haven’t got the word. Worldwide birth rates are in free fall…On every part of every continent and in every culture (even Mormon), birth rates are headed down. They reach replacement level and kept on dropping
Stewart Brand


Speak properly, and in as few words as you can, but always plainly; for the end of speech is not ostentation, but to be understood.
William Penn


That man is the richest whose pleasures are the cheapest
Henry David Thoreau


You can't build a reputation on what you are going to do.

Henry Ford


One of the first duties of the physician is to educate the masses not to take medicine.
Sir William Osler, Aphorisms from his Bedside Teachings (1961) p. 105
British (Canadian-born) physician (1849 - 1919)   


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True ideias !

Wednesday, November 30, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Go long substance and short status
Pieter Thiel

PS couldn’t agree more. Forget the diploma and go for it. Start working, start doing , learn online, read,  try,  don’t wait for the diploma to get a job. If the diploma is from Harvard it might pay back even if you spend your time parting !

Buy on the rumor; sell on the news.
Wall Street Proverb

One of the indictments of civilizations is that happiness and intelligence are so rarely found in the same person.
William Feather
(1908 - 1976)  

I finally figured out the only reason to be alive is to enjoy it.
Rita Mae Brown
US author and social activist  

Better to rely on one powerful king than on many little princes.

Jean de La Fontaine
French poet (1621 - 1695)  
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A new ice age would begin! Wrong

Tuesday, November 29, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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The track record on doom, Matt Ridley

I said that one reason to be skeptical about dangerous climate change is that environmental predictions of doom are always wrong.
Here’s a list of predictions made with much fanfare and extensive coverage in the media in the 1970s, when I was young and green, in both senses of the word:
  • the population explosion would be unstoppable;
  • global famine would be inevitable;
  • crop yields would fall;
  • a cancer epidemic caused by pesticides would shorten lifespan;
  • the desert would advance at two miles a year;
  • rainforests would disappear;
  • acid rain would destroy forests;
  • oil spills would worsen;
  • oil and gas would run out;
  • and so would copper, zinc, chrome and many other natural resources;
  • the Great Lakes would die;
  • dozens of bird and mammal species would become extinct each year;
  • and a new ice age would begin;
All these were trumpeted loudly in the mainstream media. Not one of them has come even close to meeting the apocalyptic expectations of their promoters. Sometimes this was because we took action to avert the danger. Sometimes it is because the jury is still out. More often it was because the scare was exaggerated in the first place.

I took this from

http://www.thegwpf.org/matt-ridley-global-warming-versus-global-greening/

I remember clearly the mad cow disease and the new ice age. Now is the global warming. of course at the end people don't know enough about the future and are always wrong or society corrects and change habits.

2 things are really stupid for sure

To run cars with Ethanol! you need huge amounts of water to grow corn to power the cars. it would need huge size. it's inefficient.

Biologic produce is something for the very rich, why? if all the world would chose to eat bio since the yields are 20 or 30% than modified crops or normal agriculture with potassium (Potassium (K) is an essential nutrient for plant growth). If you don't add potassium after year 3 or 4 yields would be almost zero.

If everybody did what the green movement wants we could not feed the earth and we would exhaust the soils. too bad it's stupid to do things that don't work. Bio agriculture doesn't work.

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Do more. Give more. Be more. Serve more.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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The secret to wealth is simple: Find a way to do more for others than anyone else does. Become more valuable. Do more. Give more. Be more. Serve more. And you will have the opportunity to earn more--whether you own the best food truck in Austin, Texas, or you're the top salesperson at your company or even the founder of Instagram.

Tony Robbins, 

 One Pharmacy near my house decided to open 24 hours a day every day in the year!

 Just that. now there are always customers getting in and out. Yes the sure way to survive is to do more for your customer. Focus on your customer experience and you will do well.

 The regulation, the compliance, the army of lawyers and rules are not your customer. don't get confused, only the customer matters, the rest is just noise that you have to comply but that really doesn't make you better.




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Strong State = Stalled economy

Friday, November 25, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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US stock markets are making all time highs. USD is also very strong. No other stock market in the world is near their all time high.

US has had 8 years of a stalled government, the house was republican so Obama could't do much. Spain is also without government for 2 years and they are doing great again.

I am reading the Rational Optimist and in it Matt Ridley shows that in history strong governments, unified territories with rules always promote monopolies, protect markets with tarifs and stall growth and innovation.

weak government and open trade are the best pr growth and posperity

perhaps with Mr Trump US will have a strong government and a protectionist agenda. That is not bullish for America.

why Europe is not growing, EU rules and organization dump the will to innovate and change.

I think in the end UK will do well.
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Some Thoughts for the weekend

Friday, November 18, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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1.the very definition of a high standard of living: diverse consumption, simplified production. Make one thing, use lots.


Matt Ridley, "The Rational Optimist"


2.Don't go to hospitals unless you broke a leg!
For example, side effects from medications given in hospitals kill an estimated 106,000 Americans every year................Hospitals are dangerous places, and that's not counting the estimated 99,000 deaths each year due to hospital-acquired infections.
Michael Greger, MD


3.EM are in trouble because they are not driving Inovation and Technology
Historically, a strengthening US dollar has been bad news for emerging markets; just think of the Asian crisis of 1997. And rising US long rates do not exactly help; consider the taper tantrum of 2013. Put them together then, and throw the prospect of greater trade protectionism into the mix, and the current global environment should be absolutely toxic for emerging market assets.
Joyce Poon, Gave kal


4.Fade the Inflation scare

Market-based measures of inflation expectations have turned higher, as commodity prices have bottomed & additional fiscal stimulus appears possible (with the U.S. leading the way). As we’ve noted previously, with U.S. wages rising, but still restrained, there’s little chance of runaway domestic inflation taking hold. But that does not preclude an inflation scare. We would fade such a scare in the market.
Anthony, Strategas

5.Why there will be no inflation?

Volkswagen AG reached a landmark agreement with workers to cut as many as 30,000 jobs globally and save 3.7 billion euros ($3.9 billion) in expenses as the company tries to claw back from the emissions-cheating scandal and invest in electric vehicles.

Bloomberg


6.Soft skills are the way to go
“On average, by 2020, more than a third of the desired core skill sets of most occupations will be comprised of skills that are not yet considered crucial to the job today, according to our respondents. Overall, social skills—such as persuasion, emotional intelligence and teaching others—will be in higher demand across industries than narrow technical skills, such as programming or equipment operation and control. In essence, technical skills will need to be supplemented with strong social and collaboration skills.”
World Economic Forum


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Life expectancy has no relation with doctor visits!

Tuesday, November 08, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Doctors consultations per capita, 2009 and change between 2000 and 2009



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Is this a good marketing ? It calls our attention but .................

Tuesday, November 08, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Brilliant!
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It's not how good you are, it's how good you want to be

Monday, November 07, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Smart People go to College, but college doesn’t make people smart.


A Gary Shilling


This is completely true but since employers believe that---->

if you have a College degree from a good Institution this guy is smart

you should do all you can to get a stamp from a good school !

However if you are not very smart and since College does not turn you into a very smart person (as Gary Shilling rightly points out) you will get a job because you have the stamp but once you are inside a company you are going to have problems. It's going to be clear that you are what you are.

what should you do if you are not one of the smart people in the world. If you work hard and diligently you will surpass many smart people than you! I know this is true.

To want to win is 90% of the success. 

this is the best phrase ever

It's not how good you are, it's how good you want to be

Paul Arden


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This is the Man ! Not Trump or Hillary

Monday, November 07, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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“So much of what ails people has to do with diet and exercise,”

 Gary Johnson

 From By Robert Bergland

 If the presidential race were a true battle of the fittest, though, Johnson would be on top. While his Republican and Democratic opponents have faced questions about their health, Johnson’s fitness resume is likely only matched by a few people on the planet. He’s completed four Ironman triathlons, including an impressive 10:39 in 1999, averaging better than 20 mph for the 112-mile bike leg. In running shoes he has completed 17 marathons (best of 2:47). And as of this year, only 416 people have equaled him in scaling all of the Seven Summits, the highest peaks on all seven continents, including Everest. But, outside of perhaps skiing near his home in Taos, his favorite activity is biking.
He did finish one Transportugal bike race! this is a serious athlete with good head. I don't care if he doesn't know what is Aleppo! Ronald Reagan for sure never eared about Aleppo or Syria and  was one of the best ever.

 To me for very important jobs you need to know 3 things:

 a)To know the difference from good and bad
b)To know that the number of hours and effort one puts up makes a real difference
c)To set up big ambitious goals

 i guess Gary Johnson has definitely the bottom 2 traits and possible someone who engages in serious sport is a good person and can distinguish the good and the bad.

 I loved this quote! I would do the same

 So, after completing the Tour Divide Race, two runs for president, and a slew of other feats of strength, what would Johnson most want to do if he had a day to himself? 
“It would be a bicycle ride, probably mountain biking or road biking,” he says.
Image result for governor gary johnson on bike
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4 ideas

Friday, November 04, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Norway real estate is in La la land



 People love to steel Japanese cars! They are probably reliable

27% of the Japanese populations has more than 65 years of age!

Global Innovation index 2016. If you are not in the top 10 you stock market will struggle. There is an exception, Germany why? I don't know but i guess they innovate in a very limited space and that works. If a country spends their innovation budget in many spaces that probable doesn't work.

 Image result for global innovation index

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Copy the best practices or inventing a new thing?

Thursday, November 03, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Today’s “best practices” lead to dead ends; the best paths are new and untried

Peter Thiel

In his excellent book Zero to One,  Thiel says there are two ways to improve

Copy something that works somewhere and do it everywhere— Globalization

Inventing something new, create a new path a better solution – Technology
  

In the last 10 years who has done better countries that copy best practices or the ones where people are engaged in inventing the future?

In the last 10 years Nasdaq is up 119% in USD, S&P up 53,77%, German Dax up 44% in USD and for example the mexico Index IPC is up 14% in USD. My country Portugal the stock index is down 62% in the last 10 years.

These numbers are without dividends but i don't think it changes the picture a lot.

What is the conclusion? If you can build a new path. It pays. Do it




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Production cut ?

Thursday, November 03, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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I see oil going back to 20 soon.
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Black & Hispanics have no doubts !

Friday, October 28, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
  • 10/27/2016
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not so miserable life!

Thursday, October 27, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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From BBC,
Jose Mourinho says living alone in Manchester has become a "bit of a disaster" and is beginning to tire of photographers camped outside his hotel.
Mourinho, 53, has been living in the city's Lowry Hotel since being appointed United manager in the summer.
Yet the Portuguese claims he is loath to venture out because of the persistent hordes of photographers.

"I just want to cross the bridge and go to a restaurant. I can't, so it's really bad," Mourinho told Sky Sports.

for 10 million pounds a season i would live in a different city too. His kids are 20 so no big deal. José use your time to work big time.

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Doing something right in Japan!

Wednesday, October 26, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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More about Japan:http://thoughtmeme.blogspot.pt/2015/04/lets-be-more-japanese.html



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We need one of this in my Country !

Tuesday, October 25, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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why i don't watch tv anymore

Thursday, October 20, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 1 Comments

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8 more years with this family on TV every day !
Image result for bill and hillary inc economist
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Wednesday colection

Wednesday, October 19, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 1 Comments

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People seldom do what they believe in. They do what is convenient, then repent.
Bob Dylan



“The mind that opens to a new idea never returns to its original size.”
 Albert Einstein (a German-born theoretical physicist with wild hair and endless mind-opening ideas)



Within about fifteen years of stopping smoking, your lung-cancer risk approaches that of a lifelong nonsmoker. Your lungs can clear out all the tar buildup and, eventually, it’s almost as if you never smoked at all.

Michael Greger, MD


With over $500 million of equity money raised already, Tri Alpha made a major breakthrough last year, using plasma technology to control the fusion reaction needed to generate power. While there is still plenty of work to do, Samberg told Real Vision in a recent interview that the firm is well on its way to its goal of producing clean electricity, without a steam turbine, for just pennies per kilowatt hour.

Business Insider


Stop pining for the good old days: This is as good as it gets … until it gets better.

It’s hard to find a measure of the quality of life in the U.S. that was not markedly lower in 1950 than it is today. In that year the median family income was $28,000, compared with $64,000 in 2013. Life expectancy at birth was 68 years, vs. 79 today, and tuberculosis, syphilis, whooping cough, and measles were still considerable killers—with prevalence between 10 and more than a hundred times today’s levels. One reason for poorer health was lower-quality housing: About a third of houses still lacked decent indoor plumbing (compared with fewer than 2 percent today), and air conditioning was a rare luxury. The homicide rate did climb in the 1960s and ’70s, but it has dropped since, and the 1950s level was higher than today’s. The year 1950 was also when the Korean War broke out—1.5 million American men were drafted to fight, and more than 36,000 died (five times the U.S. death toll in Afghanistan and Iraq).

Bloomberg

My comment: One day energy is going to be free! it's not far away. If you can stop smoking today after a bit (i stopped smoking Pipe in 2009) you don't miss it at all. I stopped smoking in the day my firm said no more smoking inside. I did't want to go down to the street to smoke. too much trouble. And finally yes the good old days were much worse than what we have now. and it's getting better.



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you get what you pay for!

Tuesday, October 18, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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From WSJ, By ROB COPELAND
Steven A. Cohen is boosting the bonuses he pays to the top traders managing his $11 billion family fortune, but only if they beat the market.
The move is in some ways a return to the free-spending ways of Mr. Cohen’s former hedge-fund firm, SAC Capital Advisors LP, which stopped managing outside investors’ money after the firm pleaded guilty to insider trading three years ago.
It also reflects pressure on the hedge-fund industry to deliver better returns than benchmark market indexes. Mr. Cohen’s firm, Point72 Asset Management LP, doesn’t manage external money, but the billionaire filed documents this spring to set up a new firm that can eventually seek outside funds.
Point72 had been paying its stock pickers a fixed 20% bonus on investment returns regardless of how they performed against broader benchmarks. That meant they could be paid handsomely just for matching a rising market.
Under the new bonus system, Point72 will boost those payouts to as much as 25%, but it will only pay the top bonuses on so-called alpha, industry parlance that roughly translates to investment performance above a market benchmark.

I think if you pay for performance you will get what you pay for. However it's a good optionality to make a bonus if you do well and get zero if you do a lot worse!. The best system is of course some long term measurement. if you did very bad last year you have to come back before you can make a BONUS. 
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Gentle but inexorable rise in the quality of life

Tuesday, October 18, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts


Richard Feynman
The are two ways to tell the story of the twentieth century,” writes Matt Ridley, a self-proclaimed rational optimist. “You can describe a series of wars, revolutions, crises, epidemics, financial calamities. Or you can point to the gentle but inexorable rise in the quality of life of almost everybody on the planet: the swelling of income, the conquest of disease, the disappearance of parasites, the retreat of want, the increasing persistence of peace, the lengthening of life, the advances in technology.

Yes life is getting better in almost all fields, yes all. It's a process, it's evolution it's getting faster. Everyday we invest, improve and trough trial and error the world goes forward bit by bit.

 Top down inventions, and government programs are responsible for an amazing few improvements in our world. where do progress comes from? bottom up granular research and experiments.

 yes the future will be even better.Violence & crime are going down everywhere (Countries that engage in trade) for 200 years.

 the struggle for survival is getting less acute. People have more options, travel is not an adventure anymore.

 As Matt Ridley says very clearly the good old days were never good! 
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Trade, not aid, proved the best way to achieve an increase in prosperity.

Monday, October 17, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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South Korea and Ghana had the same income per capita in the 1950's. One received far more aid, advice and political intervention than the other. It is now by far the poorer of the two. In General, Asian economies grew their way out of poverty in the late twentieth century, while African economies failed to be aided out of poverty. Trade, not aid, proved the best way to achieve an increase in prosperity.

 Matt Ridley

 Growth & development can't  be ordered or created. In history the best predictor of prosperity is open markets and trade. all the top down receipts world bank programs & foreign aid don't work. Open markets do.


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No country for young people

Friday, October 14, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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In Europe social protection schemes are maintained for the old but the younger don't have access to them. Besides unemployment is much bigger for the young generations.

 This country is not for young people!
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The Weekend Collection

Friday, October 14, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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We want Berlin to remain a place where average earners can afford do live
Matthias Kollatz-Ahnen, City Finance chief FT

A recent study by swiss bank UBS found that Vancouver topped the list of six cities worldwide in housing bubble status. House prices in all of them are up about 50% since 2011
A Gary Shilling

Just as you do not have to listen to the local singer, but can hear Placido Domingo, so you do not have to be thought by local teacher in the modern world
Matt Ridley

"I never dreamed about success. I worked for it."
Estee Lauder

Nothing is impossible. Some things are just less likely than others.
Jonathan Winters

The reward of a thing well done is to have done it.
Ralph Waldo Emerson, The Conduct of Life, 'Fate,' 1860
US essayist & poet (1803 - 1882)  


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Too much Education

Thursday, October 13, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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But do the facts bear out this notion that education is the elixir of economic growth? Is there any evidence that it was education that drove countries to prosperity, or vice versa? Alison Wolf examined the data in exhaustive detail in her book Does Education Matter?, and concluded that the answer is a surprising "no".

 Matt Ridley, the Evolution of Everything

 The evidence shows that for an individual Education pays big time. If you have more degrees you get more money. Employers see the degrees as evidence that you are a docile future employee.

 For countries the bet on more education & more degrees doesn't work? why?

 i don't know but i guess people with degrees don't have more productivity vs....
what they learn doesn't work in practice
College don't make you a better person
and finally many jobs are destined to holders of high degrees and normal people could do them easily and that is a waste of money &time.

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When you find something that works that is called winning

Tuesday, October 04, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 1 Comments

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‘trial’ and error is a tremendously powerfull process for solving problems in a complex world. While expert leadership is not.
 Tim Hartford

"The strategy for the discoverers and entrepreneurs is to rely less on top-down planning and focus on maximum tinkering and recognizing opportunities when they present themselves. So I disagree with the followers of Marx and those of Adam Smith: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill. The strategy is, then, to tinker as much as possible and try to collect as many Black Swan opportunities as you can."
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb


This is the way to do better to improve , try often , try a lot and keep doing what works. Boat designs that sunk are not repeated but boat designs that are afloat....The ocen decides what should be done. In the markets you shoud try a lot and stop what is not working.

Don't spend money in consultants, just figure out what is working.
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Why Parking lot business is dying

Monday, October 03, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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“The age of centralized, command-and-control, extraction-resource-based energy sources (oil, gas, coal and nuclear) will not end because we run out of petroleum, natural gas, coal, or uranium. It will end because these energy sources, the business models they employ, and the products that sustain them will be disrupted by superior technologies, product architectures, and business models. Compelling new technologies such as solar, wind, electric vehicles, and autonomous (self-driving) cars will disrupt and sweep away the energy industry as we know it.”
― Tony Seba, Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation: How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil, Nuclear, Natural Gas, Coal, Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars Obsolete by 2030




On average cars are idle 95% of their life parked in some garage or street.

 in the future sharing is going to replace ownership because it cost 10% to do the same in a sharing vehicle. You could do a lot with the other 90%

 Yes things are changing fast. Deflation is a reality. 

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kxryv2XrnqM
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Yes Capitalism brings the best in people !

Thursday, September 29, 2016 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

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The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined is a 2011 book by Steven Pinker, in which he argues that violence in the world has declined both in the long run and in the short run and suggests explanations as to why this has occurred.[1] In a conversation with Richard Dawkins he states that in last four decades in the United States, the rate of rape has gone down by 80%. He admits that because of the vanishing communication gap, today, the number of reportings of violence has risen giving people an impression of rising rapes, abuses and other violent activities.

 Participation in capitalist markets and bourgeois virtues has civilized the world. It has “civilized” the world in more than one of the word’s root senses, that is, making it “citified,” from the mere increase in a rich population. It has too, I claim, as many eighteenth-century European writers also claimed, made it courteous, that is, “civil.” “The terrestrial paradise,” said Voltaire, “is Paris.”
Richer and more urban people, contrary to what the magazines of opinion sometimes suggest, are less materialistic, less violent, less superficial than poor and rural people. Because people in capitalist countries already possess the material, they are less attached to their possessions than people in poor countries. And because they have more to lose from a society of violence, they resist it.
The Bourgeois Virtues,Ethics for an Age of Commerce. Deirdre N. McCloskey
The ideal that Capitalism & commerce has led to a society of selfishness, violence and egoism is simple false and not true. 

 Today many normal people have access to things that not even the rich possessed 50 years ago. Travelling, clean water and medication and of course most of all opportunities. Yes today you can do many things.

 The same is true for violence rape & robbery! They all are on decline on the Capitalist countries open to Commerce for more than 200 years! 

 Yes capitalism is good, free trade is good, and never more people helped others and dedicated their lives to helping others without benefit.

 Sorry despite people are voting more & more in left and right wing extreme parties they are completely wrong.

 we are in the right track.
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