Empty buildings, empty schoolrooms, empty universities !

Wednesday, July 12, 2017 Francisco Carneiro 0 Comments

Unfortunately, the demographic profile numbers I investigate in this book lead me to conclude that these economies (Portugal, Spain, Greece & Italy) are going to shrink 20%-30% in the coming decades as their working age population decline at a rate of 1% a year for several decades (current numbers of births imply the steady decline to last until 2050; possible extending further into the future if natality rates do not increase). There will be less people around and consequently a lot of empty buildings, empty schoolrooms, empty universities and packed retirement homes and hospitals.

Economic Cycles, Debt, and Demographics, Carlos Alegria 2017 , Amazon



If you look at the book Germany, China and Korea are not in a better shape. I think the population shrinking is not a problem for supply, with machines and a lot of unemployment we don't need more people to produce everything we want. The problem is demand. There will be no demand for real estate, space, offices, food etc...

i see deflation.


0 comentários: